What decides whether a bill gets out of committee?
Almost every bill dies in committee. This lesson asks students to work out what separates the ones that get out from the ones that do not, using 93,870 bills from seven Congresses, and then to find one bill that a committee approved and abandoned anyway.
Ways to run it
- Straight through. The screen asks the room to guess, sorts bills by one thing only, then turns to the chair, then to the two chambers held by different parties at the same time, then to the same fact counted in people. The sheet carries both tables and the questions.
- The sheet on its own. No projector needed, and it works for a substitute. The one thing paper cannot do is hold the opening guess back, since the tables are right there, so ask for the guess before the sheets go out.
- Open and close with the screen, improvise the middle. Step 1 is the guess and the last step is the exit ticket. Everything between is yours.
- Across two days. The two tables on the first day, tracing one real bill on congress.gov on the second. The second day doubles as a congress.gov lesson.
Worth knowing before you teach it
- "Ordered to be Reported" is not "reported"
- A committee can vote in markup to report a bill and then never file the report. Counting that vote as leaving committee inflates the figures by about a third, and the gap between the two is what the assignment below has students find. Every rate on this page counts the filed report only.
- The cross-party result is an association, not a cause
- Bills with a cosponsor from the other party were reported more often in every row. That is not proof the cosponsor did it. They may have been less contested bills to begin with. Nothing here can separate the two, and saying so is the lesson rather than a hole in it.
- The split chambers are what keep this non-partisan
- In 3 of these seven Congresses the two chambers were held by different parties at the same time. The majority's advantage runs the same way in both, every time. If a room starts hearing a claim about one party, that row is the answer, and it is step 6 on the screen for exactly this reason.
- The answers
- What matters most for getting out of committee? Two things the record shows: a cosponsor from the other party, and whose party holds the chair. Seniority and subject are the guesses that usually come first and neither is measured here. How much does the majority gain? Its bills were reported between 1.4 and 4.3 times as often as the minority's, across fourteen chamber-Congresses, and it is ahead in all fourteen. Does a cross-party cosponsor ever hurt? Not in 28 of 28 rows. The effect is largest for a sponsor in the minority: in the House, between 0.8% and 1.9% of their bills with no cross-party cosponsor were reported, against between 5.3% and 11.7% of those with one.
What to expect from the room
- The answer that comes up first
- Someone will say the majority blocks the minority's bills on purpose. That is a fair reading and it is not the whole story. Chairs decide what gets a hearing and there are far more bills than hearings, so a chair who never thought about a bill at all produces the same result as one who buried it. Both are worth talking about, and the numbers do not separate them.
- The question that makes it land
- "If you were in the minority and wanted your bill to pass, what would you do on Monday morning?" The first table suggests an answer: find a cosponsor from the other party, the one thing in this lesson a single member of Congress controls. Then hold it against the caution above, that the table shows the two go together and not that one causes the other.
- Where students will push back
- A sharp student will ask whether bills with cross-party cosponsors were simply better bills, or less controversial ones, and whether that is the real reason they moved. Nothing here can rule that out. Say so. That is a genuinely open question and noticing it is a better outcome than the lesson's own conclusion.
- What not to say
- The gap looks like it might be widening across recent Congresses. Over all seven it goes down and then up again, so there is no trend to report. Reporting rates also drop sharply after the 115th and nobody here knows why. Leaving a real gap visible is worth more than filling it.
The exit ticket
Neither table on this sheet names which party held the majority. Why does leaving the party out make the pattern stronger rather than weaker?
What a right answer has. Because the advantage shows up in every Congress on the table, whichever party was in the majority, so it cannot be about that party. It is about the chair setting the schedule. A student who answers "so you cannot tell who to blame" has the right instinct and the wrong frame: there is nothing to blame, it is how the committee works.
If you have longer, or an older class
Fourteen years in two panels
The extension at the foot of this page plots every bill introduced since 2013 against what happened to them. More bills arrive every Congress and the number reaching the end does not grow with them. It is two panels on two scales rather than one chart, which is itself worth a conversation with an older class: one frame would have put a count in the tens of thousands and a count in the hundreds on the same axis.
A gap nobody here can explain
Reporting rates fall sharply after the 115th Congress and stay down. We do not know why, and the teacher notes say so rather than offering a reason. A class that wants a research question has one: what changed in committee practice after 2018, and what would count as evidence either way.